Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.006331 0.007291 0.008410 0.009829 0.011601 0.013777 0.016700
2025-11-09 0.004833 0.005931 0.007335 0.009314 0.012118 0.016097 0.022477
2025-11-16 0.004027 0.005141 0.006654 0.008942 0.012484 0.018093 0.028490
2025-11-23 0.003622 0.004780 0.006433 0.009093 0.013560 0.021431 0.038416
2025-11-30 0.003244 0.004386 0.006077 0.008934 0.014051 0.023906 0.048288
2025-12-07 0.002912 0.004011 0.005686 0.008626 0.014176 0.025704 0.058000
2025-12-14 0.002678 0.003754 0.005439 0.008504 0.014603 0.028291 0.072235
2025-12-21 0.002560 0.003659 0.005435 0.008807 0.015947 0.033610 0.101829
2025-12-28 0.002481 0.003617 0.005510 0.009264 0.017759 0.041185 0.155006
2026-01-04 0.002361 0.003493 0.005425 0.009390 0.018850 0.047439 0.219890
2026-01-11 0.002225 0.003329 0.005249 0.009295 0.019374 0.052268 0.295076
2026-01-18 0.002119 0.003207 0.005135 0.009314 0.020206 0.058906 0.425447
2026-01-25 0.001982 0.003032 0.004923 0.009127 0.020557 0.064654 0.614686
2026-02-01 0.001827 0.002812 0.004608 0.008666 0.020010 0.066303 0.779797
2026-02-08 0.001702 0.002638 0.004363 0.008329 0.019752 0.069347 1.062250
2026-02-15 0.001639 0.002570 0.004320 0.008466 0.021055 0.082335 2.297267
2026-02-22 0.001554 0.002456 0.004173 0.008321 0.021381 0.090371 4.418912
2026-03-01 0.001465 0.002327 0.003983 0.008042 0.021153 0.094748 7.876116
2026-03-08 0.001398 0.002237 0.003866 0.007932 0.021522 0.104421 23.714051
2026-03-15 0.001370 0.002216 0.003892 0.008206 0.023493 0.131941 13980.233753
2026-03-22 0.001354 0.002217 0.003964 0.008620 0.026283 0.178056 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001315 0.002172 0.003932 0.008734 0.027850 0.218195 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001266 0.002102 0.003836 0.008649 0.028464 0.248762 NaN